Monday, November 26, 2007

i won the bet

after lunch today: Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (Phivolcs) said the earthquake felt around noon today had a 4.2 magnitude and was located slightly offshore, 77 kilometers northwest of Lingayen town, Pangasinan province.

my guess: magnitude 4.3

the money was used to buy Krispy Kreme!

*****

unfortunately, A was right in saying that i might not be the real winner if we base our results from phivolcs and that he would bet that before the end of the day, the agency will change it. true to his word, they changed the magnitude to 5.4 just in time for the prime time news.

how sad it was because this is the second time this week that an agency of the government has "incorrectly predicted" a natural event's effect to the country. early this week, the pagasa has mentioned that the typhoon mina will move in a westernly path when cnn has already predicted a northwest movement. at the end, the path predicted by cnn was correct. it was sad that the agency stuck to their first prediction and said something about different scenarios (and that they are still in top form for weather forecasts, or so). the question is, when have they been right lately?

and now, phivolcs. granted that the magnitude can have different values depending on the 'data gathering system' one's agency has, it was a "revelation" to see the usgs have a report way before phivolcs gave their statement. and tonight, the magnitude they have given is way near the one the usgs has given earlier, a 6.0 magnitude.

what has happened?!

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